18
Jan 11

Serious, structural problem with transit funding in Toronto

Steve Munro’s review of the 2011 TTC capital budget is, as usual, hyper-detailed and may seem impenetrable to people who aren’t transit geeks, but the last section (“A Few Parting Words”) is an important read for anyone who cares about the future of transit in this city:

Couple this with a municipal regime whose raison-d’être is to constrain spending, the possibility of a new government at Queen’s Park, and an economic climate that makes the boomtown days of transit spending a very distant memory, and we have a recipe for very serious problems in transit financing.  Some may argue for private sector intervention.  This may address some issues, and I say “may” only because we have yet to experience a London-style meltdown of a PPP here, but it will not eliminate the problem.

via TTC 2011 Capital Budget | Steve Munro.


17
Jan 11

No reservations

John Lorinc with Spacing:

An eagle-eyed Spacing reader wrote this week to point out that Mayor Rob Ford and his chief bean counter Mike Del Grande are relying on a $25 million draw against the city’s reserves to help balance the 2011 budget with no property tax increase.

Anyone who’s hung around the giant clam in recent years knows that when Ford and his merry band of waste-busters were in opposition, they railed loudly and often about the perils of reserve raids.

via LORINC: Even the right will raid the reserves « Spacing Toronto.

Miller did this too often as well, but then I don’t recall him both eliminating revenue sources and raiding reserves in the same year. To make an analogy: the 2011 budget is a bit like quitting your job then immediately spending a big chunk of your savings.

(For the record, I hate analogies like that. City finances are not the same as personal finances for about a billion reasons.)


17
Jan 11

Such a cliché

The Posted Toronto Political Panel is quite interesting this week. Jonathan Goldsbie makes a similar point to the one I made below regarding people who blindly criticize city spending: “No more abstractions: name names, please.” Chris Selley works the middle, though still seems way too eager to accept TTC service cuts even after the TTC has admitted they may have goofed on the numbers. I did appreciate this: “demanding nothing be cut would be completely in keeping with Ford’s campaign promises.” Others seem to have missed that in no way did Toronto vote for a government that delivers fewer services.

New panelist Matt Gurney, on the other hand, has himself pegged:

I’d probably blow up Housing, which is due for a reckoning (what it gets reduced to, though, is anyone’s guess). I hate to be a right-wing bogeyman, but since I’m not tying my hopes for a majority to Quebec, I’d go after the culture spending and job creation programs, too — if we’re a world-class city, we can sustain a diverse culture and economy without the government being involved (the horror). And I’m all for privatizing and contracting out, obviously. Man, I’m such a cliché.

via Posted Toronto Political Panel: Solving Rob Ford’s budget dilemma | Posted Toronto | National Post.

Cliché indeed.


17
Jan 11

Critics of city’s past spending should speak in specifics

Rob Granatstein with The Sun makes the same point that lots of people made this past week — that the 2011 budget is nothing, and the real test comes in 2012 — but puts a bit of a conservative spin on it:

By 2014, Toronto won’t have any wiggle room to borrow any more, at its current pace. Someone has to get a handle on how this city spends.

So, starting the day after the 2011 budget is passed, work on 2012 begins.

Who knows what the 2011 surplus will be? But it’s hard to believe Ford will have $346 million in found money to play with.

Again, this budget is not truly Rob Ford’s. The 2012 budget will be his and a major test of our new mayor.

The interesting days are far from over.

via Mayor’s fight still to come: Granatstein | Rob Granatstein | Columnists | Comment | Toronto Sun.

“Someone has to get a handle on how the city spends” is the same kind of simplistic bullshit we were fed throughout the election. Honestly, I think it’s time to start demanding that people who grouse about city spending and the increases over the past seven years actually speak in specifics. Name the departments that should be cut and the services that should be reduced. It’s become increasingly clear this past week that there are not easily accessible gravy deposits at City Hall.

Earlier in his editorial, Granatstein writes that Ford “demanded the city stop going cap-in-hand to the province and the feds.” I agree with him that this was not the year for city council to be asking for increased funds from senior governments, but to simply gloss over the issue of intergovernmental relations — the dismissive ‘cap-in-hand’ phrase comes up way too often in the media — is a mistake. One of the critical roles the Mayor of Toronto must play is as an advocate for this city with the provincial and federal governments.


14
Jan 11

Cut gravy, not programs

The National Post’s Natalie Alcoba must have brought a tape recorder to today’s budget meeting, because she’s got a great transcript of Doug Ford’s rant, aimed squarely at left-leaning councillors:

And for my colleagues to get up and do their political grandstanding, as I said, when they were in charge for the last seven years wasting money day in and day out and putting … in debt, and paying $446-million on interest, that we could be reallocating some of that to the police, in support of the police, I find appalling. And it’s been going on all week. Another colleague was comparing the librarians, that they should be at the same level as the police. That’s the mindset that we have here. Spend, spend, spend. Tax, tax, tax. Zero accountability. We’re in the position that because of the spending that has happened in the last seven years…

via ‘There is a procedure for being offended’: Councillors spar in committee meeting | Posted Toronto | National Post.

Aw, it’s so hard to be a law-and-order politician and a government shrinker when people won’t stop whining about their libraries.

You promised to cut gravy, not programs, councillor. People are just trying to hold you to your word.


14
Jan 11

“The hand we were dealt”

Robyn Doolittle covers the proposed user fee increases in this year’s budget — none of which seem overly controversial — and closes was this quote from the deputy mayor:

Deputy mayor Doug Holyday said he’s not happy with the fee hikes, but they may be inevitable.

“We’re trying to not put additional costs on taxpayers, but it may take a year or two or three to get things under control. We’re playing the hand we were dealt.”

via User fee hikes could raise cost of fun and fidelity – thestar.com.

Very disingenuous. The hand they were dealt was a good one: surplus money. The city essentially could take one of two paths. The first would be to plow most of the surplus into reserves and debt payments, then raising fees/taxes and finding efficiencies — and making some cuts — to fill this year’s budget hole. The second would be more pragmatic: using some of the surplus to balance this year’s operating budget but still adding to reserves and debt payment. Both strategies assume a small property tax increase for 2011.

The Ford administration took the bizarre third path, freezing property taxes (which is essentially a cut), throwing the entire surplus at this year’s operating budget and then raising a bunch of user fees and cutting services to make things balance.


13
Jan 11

Proposed TTC route cuts impact 2,600 riders per day

The TTC has started providing statistics relating to the proposed bus route cuts part of the 2011 budget. Steve Munro was nice enough to post the TTC’s numbers here. (PDF link)

After putting on my nerd pants, I converted the PDF back to an Excel document. Filtering to display only weekday cuts, the TTC’s own numbers indicate that over 2,600 riders per day will be impacted by these proposed weekday cuts. Of the 658,569 customers affected per year, 126,086 of those will be ‘lost’ riders, who will presumably replace a trip they previously took by transit by a trip in a car.

The TTC estimates that many of these impacted riders will walk to other routes, but how much of that will happen remains to be seen.  Steve Kupferman at OpenFile Toronto makes some good points about why simply walking further to access transit can be daunting for some late night riders.

Meanwhile, Munro concludes:

The TTC’s analysis shows the hallmarks of something pulled together quickly as a way to satisfy a demand for cuts without taking care to look at what is happening or to validate the accuracy of the calculations.

via The “Ooops” Factor in Planned Service Cuts | Steve Munro.

“Pulled together quickly to satisfy demand for cuts” is kind of a recurring theme this week.

Postscript: Via Jonathan Goldsbie’s twitter account, this from Royson James is particularly relevant to this discussion:

“[Late-night and weekend service] were introduced as valued, credible transportation options and alternatives to driving a car. They were to help people adopt transit as part of their lifestyle. We clearly said they would not generate huge ridership or carry huge volumes but they would allow citizens to count on transit wherever and whenever they need it.”

And that’s what they have done. Off-peak ridership is growing faster than rush-hour service and accounts for more riders. “We achieved what we set out to do,” [TTC  Manager – Service Planning Department Mitch] Stambler said.

via James: TTC choking on its success – thestar.com


12
Jan 11

Transit Cuts Deferred to February Meeting; City operates via longhand

David Nickle with InsideToronto:

The Toronto Transit Commission has voted postpone plans to slash off-peak service on 48 bus routes across the city.
The controversial plan emerged earlier this week, as TTC staff hurried to put together operating and capital budgets for the city’s 2011 accelerated budget process.

via InsideToronto Article: TTC delays decision to cut off-peak service on some city bus routes.

What they don’t mention in the article is, as revealed in a tweet from Councillor Josh Matlow, the amendment was deferred via a handwritten note. Which leads me to wonder if they actually were using an old-style overhead projector for this meeting or if they actually scanned in the handwritten note. In either case: damn.

The deferral is welcome news, as I’m convinced these cuts were not well thought out. I’d argue that we should demand a list of proposed service increases that are to come into effect in September before we accept any reduction in service this winter.


12
Jan 11

Setting a standard for transit

Natalie Alcoba, reporting on statements from Councillor Adam Vaughan at today’s special TTC budget meeting:

[Vaughan] said people who can’t take a bus to work late at night won’t take it for the other leg of the commute.

“Next year you will have a whole new host of underperforming routes,” he said. “Part of the way to find the way around it is to take a blind leap of faith is to grow the system and not shrink the system.”

via TTC urged to reconsider cutbacks to bus services | Posted Toronto | National Post.

People can make easy rationalizations for cutting low-performing routes, and maybe some of them are justified. The problem I have is two-fold:

First, this kind of strategy defines transit as a convience rather than the vital cornerstone of city building. The city could save a lot of money on road repairs by shutting down poorly used roads, but they’d never consider that. And for good reason — because, over time, underused roads become well-used roads. Cities change and evolve and grow.

Second, depending on who you ask the cuts are either a) being done to save money or b) not cuts at all, as the resources will be shifted to other routes in September.

Councillor Gloria Lindsay Luby spins it as the former in Alcoba’s article, saying “We are in tight times. No choices are good choices. I know that.” But the official line is still that these are not cuts but rather adjustments – how can they have it both ways?


12
Jan 11

Finding money all over the place

[blackbirdpie url=”http://twitter.com/JoshColle/status/25183967284043776″]

Posting to test the WordPress plugin Blackbird Pie for embedding Tweets into posts. And also because this tweet from Councillor Josh Colle (Ward 15 – Eglinton Lawrence) is pretty great in light of yesterday’s “Let’s save money with our magic blue pen” TTC budget report.